Avanti Feeds Limited — Investor Meet, 27-11-2024: Analysts/Institutional Investor Meet/Con. Call Updates
1. **Financial Performance:** In Q2 FY25, Avanti Feeds reported consolidated gross income of INR 1,397 crore, a 9.34% decline from Q1 FY25 but a 6.48% increase compared to Q2 FY24. Profit before tax (PBT) was INR 162 crore, down 10% from Q1 FY25 but up 43.36% year-over-year. The standalone feed division saw a decrease in income to INR 1,118 crore from INR 1,298 crore in Q1 FY25, primarily due to a drop in feed sales volume. However, PBT rose to INR 145 crore in Q2 FY25 from INR 86 crore in Q2 FY24. Margins have been supported by a slight decline in raw material costs, particularly fish meal.
2. **Future Outlook and Growth Drivers:** Management remains optimistic about healthier feed consumption patterns in the latter part of FY25 due to favorable conditions for shrimp farming. The company anticipates a robust shrimp export market, spurred by an estimated industry production of 10.5 to 11 lakh MTs in shrimp.
3. **Order Book and Operational Updates:** Total feed sales in H1 FY25 were stable at 2,93,487 MT, reflecting a cautious optimism due to expected recovery in demand following climatic adversities earlier in the year.
4. **Analyst Q&A Insights (Detailed):**
- **Revenue and Profitability:** Analysts sought clarity on current revenue prospects amid high raw material costs due to adverse weather conditions, impacting production volumes. Management expressed confidence in managing costs while addressing supply constraints.
- **Market Position and Competitive Landscape:** Queries centered on competition from Ecuador amid changing dynamics in shrimp exports. Management noted a shift in demand and pricing benefiting Indian exporters.
- **Operational Challenges or Risks:** The management acknowledged recent challenges caused by environmental factors but emphasized recovery trends and future demand projections.
- **Capex and Capital Allocation:** Discussions highlighted strategic initiatives aimed at diversifying product offerings, including entering the pet food market and expanding fish feed operations, to mitigate risks in core areas.
- **Strategic Priorities and Long-Term Vision:** Questions about sustainability and innovation efforts revealed ongoing investments in aquaculture practices to enhance productivity.
5. **Market or Regulatory Updates:** There were updates on countervailing duties (CVD) imposed by the U.S. on shrimp imports, which introduced challenges but also aligned with pricing strategies to protect margins.
6. **Strategic Focus Areas:** The company's emphasis on innovation in shrimp farming and feed production reflects a broader aim to enhance operational efficiency and cater to growing global demand.
7. **Investor Insight:** Overall, Avanti Feeds shows resilience amid challenges with a favorable outlook on shrimp consumption. The strategic focus on diversifying product lines and enhancing feed efficiency indicates potential for growth. This positions the stock favorably for a 'buy' stance, contingent on consistent execution of its growth strategies and mitigation of external risks.
